I regularly ask my students the rhetorical question, "What could possibly go wrong?"
I've been outspoken on the issue of the Russian invasion of Ukraine since last summer when I presented a long paper predicting Putin's invasion of the country. Everything I wrote, or spoke during interviews, has come about. All that is left is the use of tactical nuclear weapons by Russia.
I expect that Odessa will come under major attack this summer and early fall. Russia has to take this major sea port to completely isolate the Ukrainian government.
Kyiv is seeing lots of people returning as conditions in the city normalize. However, as these returning Ukrainians find their government is bleeding the population to death fighting over ethnic Russian populations and regions that Ukrainians really don't like - the government is going to come under major attack, and possibly be overthrown by its own citizens. Particularly as we enter the next winter period, and Ukraine has no access to oil or natural gas, and can't access supplies from the industrial areas occupied by the Russians.
And, the "gifts" of western arms and ammunition to Ukraine are really being provided under a modified "Lend-Lease" program much as Britain and France were provided during the Second World War. Those countries had to pay back the U.S. for all that material, whether it ever made it into combat or was destroyed along the shipping routes. Ukraine is going to be owing western countries nearly 100 Billion Dollars to the U.S., UK, France, Italy, Germany, Poland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Austria, and Canada before this is over. Without an industrial base to draw on, how are they going to pay back that debt?
Of course the new-cons like Petreaus - are going to find themselves with lots of media face time while I'm stuck in the Colorado mountains paying $5.50/gallon for gasoline and the single grocery store is absent eggs and many other items. Good thing my neighbors are raising chickens and I can get eggs from them.
Of course, I might have to take a couple night shifts standing guard over the chicken and pig pens to do my part... but isn't that why I have firearms? To protect my family and friends (including my Amish friends) from thieves and foxes and politicians?
Having been convinced that no one in the Biden group can read, what could go wrong here? Biden gets his head handed to him in Europe, Saudi Arabia and Israel. What more can he lose? His self-respect or the respect of his wife, who thinks of Hispanics as tacos. If someone had told me you could assemble this band of lunatics, I would have laughed. Too much work around for loonies for them to be gathered in one place. But, hey, Biden learned from Barry, the expert. Just sayin'
Blitzkrieg didn’t work in Russia, there were no roads, just cow paths that were either frozen or mired in mud. Russians, in villages,asked Germans how the Czar was. Except for Stalingrad the advance towards Moscow ended the same way Napoleon did, Germans retreating, no supplies. The Germans stayed on the roads and snow was piled up ten feet on either side and Russian planes mowed down thousands while partisans on skis attacked on every side. You would rather be dead than captured.
I wonder, if Russia, divorced from the modern economy and forced to be independent, even though backward for our standards, is not further along at being able to survive the global financial economic breakdown that we are all trying to prepare for.
I don’t know what history means for the present, except war brings the unexpected and the unexpected could be nuclear annihilation.
There is always a bridge too far brought about by stupid dogma, by tunnel vision people whose interests and intent are suspect.
Bill asked the question, is it stupidity or evil? Evil is the thought process and actions divorced from God. Stupidity produces evil and vise versa.
My understanding, Ukraine never indicated or intended to invade Russia, it had too much internal corruption and politico fighting, to decide on such a campaign, despite Russian subversive tactics to grab power & take over Ukraine 100% as one of many subservient colonies.
Putin has had a grand plan from way back from his upbringing in near poverty, to re-establish the Great Russian Empire, East to West with all Baltic countries.
Nato nations actions for collaborative defence, was his justification to act when he thought he was on week off CheckMate by military training summer camps became a necessary ‘military action’ for national motherland protection.
Yes, the massive military industrial complex in the USA is a major player in the capitalist system, with suspect initiatives to garner tax moneys, profits and wealth from war. A military campaign is a great way to quit excess and old stocks from warehouses.
Looking however at China, North Korea, Iran and Russia etc ‘non-capitalists, it’s not just Wall Street in this field of exploiting and making killing equipment. To say their socialist spending is only preventative for home defence is, despite protestations at UN etc and ignoring global treaties, is patently bulldust and not supported by the evidence of their massive military buildup.
Question 1. Israel of now, would it not be other than muslim and arabic inhabited, if it were not for conscription and about 50% of their national budget spend allocated to defending their own right to exist. Is that corrupt and dumb stupid also?
Question 2. If Germany and EU had not been so stupidly naive in dictating green power & renewables and changing nature - would Putin have started his blitz, butcher and obliterate under the proviso of ‘denazification’, used to feed his troops with hated and poison brains into madnesses?
Question 3. When this period of ‘civilization’ is written about in 20 years time some of the players from Biden, Putin, Zelenskyy and many others will be remembered comparatively to Churchill, Roosevelt, Hitler, Stalin etc.
Question 4. And, what will be said about Reserve Bankers, Politicians, Bureaucrats Billionaires, New World Order lemmings? Those whom let the viruses of civil disorder, panic and civil wars, become global and encourage the plunder, destroy, and let anarchy loose but wash their hands like Pontus Pilat ?
The thing that is a commonality of history and warring, is the seized awful power and madness of manic egotist leaders, the use of terror and mass killings even in this age of ‘technology and peace movements’
Human lives and deaths yesterday, today and tomorrow are an expendable item at their whim, almost as are fiat currencies in the hands of Reserve bank's!
I have used this graph for many years as the single best graphic representation of data ever. Little did I know and expect that it illustrates the most likely scenario for those who are apparently hell-bent to cross that bridge again. As in the past, if that really happens the toll for Russia will be drastic but for those who try lethal. You can't fight geography.
My understanding from this history lesson then, is that it’s folly to invade Russia and, therefore, by extension, it’s folly to resist Russia. We should send this information to all the former Soviet satellites and, of course, the Ukrainians.
Bill really stirred a hornet’s nest among some of his readers by telling the truth here. I think the Warfare State is frightened that, as the central bankers have little choice but to gradually remove the punch bowl after tossing out trillions of dollars of faux money this young century through printing and ridiculously-low interest rates, the Pentagon’s $700B annual budget might be looked at quite closely for a change, as will the Welfare State’s gigantic budget. Look at the “little gods” in tech such as Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Tim Cook, etc. (Jeff Bezos and Sheryl Sandberg wisely saw the handwriting on the wall and fled.) They aren’t so god-like now that the faux money and easy, low-interest money are being removed. The WSJ recently pointed out that venture capitalists are also sobering up, which means that money won’t be thrown at nearly as many silly little apps or other fads that--might--make a profit a decade from now. Bill has been predicting for years that once the punch bowl starts being removed, there will be a reality check across the board. But I recently heard The WSJ’s Dan Henninger wonder how long the punch bowl will be removed. Or will it be filled again with faux money in 2023, bringing about problems in 2024 that are now occurring in 2022?
And pertaining to Ukraine---where is that $40B of unaudited money? As Bill points out, Vlad has only invaded a tiny portion of Ukraine, and his military has paid a high price. I guess he could have leveled all major Ukrainian cities and saved many Russian troops’ lives. And who says, outside of Pres. Zelenskyy and his globalist backers, a majority of Ukrainians would have wanted to join NATO if Mr. Zelenskyy had told them up front that his wanting to join NATO could provoke serious military action from Vlad? With Ukraine no longer being of interest to a majority of Americans, and if the central bankers hold the line on faux money creation during 2023, I just hope something doesn’t get stirred up somewhere else in the world. Something that might spiral out of control.
I'm in total agreement with the descriptor used by PG V; I'm just not sure which should come first, isolationist or appeaser. You are worse than wrong with your statement about three dozen people in America who care about Unkraine, Donesk, etc. There are more than three dozen people in my neighborhood who care a great deal about the present and future of Ukraine . Every week, the people of Denver fill a large plane (destination Ukraine) full goods of all kinds to help people there. The media around here claim that Thousands of people from the Denver area have contributed to this effort. Believe it or not, thousands (more likely hundreds of thousands ) of people are doing similar things in cities and towns all over the country. How could you have missed all this? Talk about out of touch!
I regularly ask my students the rhetorical question, "What could possibly go wrong?"
I've been outspoken on the issue of the Russian invasion of Ukraine since last summer when I presented a long paper predicting Putin's invasion of the country. Everything I wrote, or spoke during interviews, has come about. All that is left is the use of tactical nuclear weapons by Russia.
I expect that Odessa will come under major attack this summer and early fall. Russia has to take this major sea port to completely isolate the Ukrainian government.
Kyiv is seeing lots of people returning as conditions in the city normalize. However, as these returning Ukrainians find their government is bleeding the population to death fighting over ethnic Russian populations and regions that Ukrainians really don't like - the government is going to come under major attack, and possibly be overthrown by its own citizens. Particularly as we enter the next winter period, and Ukraine has no access to oil or natural gas, and can't access supplies from the industrial areas occupied by the Russians.
And, the "gifts" of western arms and ammunition to Ukraine are really being provided under a modified "Lend-Lease" program much as Britain and France were provided during the Second World War. Those countries had to pay back the U.S. for all that material, whether it ever made it into combat or was destroyed along the shipping routes. Ukraine is going to be owing western countries nearly 100 Billion Dollars to the U.S., UK, France, Italy, Germany, Poland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Austria, and Canada before this is over. Without an industrial base to draw on, how are they going to pay back that debt?
Of course the new-cons like Petreaus - are going to find themselves with lots of media face time while I'm stuck in the Colorado mountains paying $5.50/gallon for gasoline and the single grocery store is absent eggs and many other items. Good thing my neighbors are raising chickens and I can get eggs from them.
Of course, I might have to take a couple night shifts standing guard over the chicken and pig pens to do my part... but isn't that why I have firearms? To protect my family and friends (including my Amish friends) from thieves and foxes and politicians?
One continuously overlooked piece of history is that the Soviet Union installed nukes in Cuba in response to US nukes already in place in Turkey.
You state (not ask...) What could go wrong?
Same thing as before - a bitterly cold winter for Germany et al, again.
Did this not happen in Afghanistan as well? The Americans are/were as brilliant as the Swedes, Napoleon and Hitler.
Don't be offended by the truth. The Americans 'practiced' Afghanistan in Viet Nam.
Having been convinced that no one in the Biden group can read, what could go wrong here? Biden gets his head handed to him in Europe, Saudi Arabia and Israel. What more can he lose? His self-respect or the respect of his wife, who thinks of Hispanics as tacos. If someone had told me you could assemble this band of lunatics, I would have laughed. Too much work around for loonies for them to be gathered in one place. But, hey, Biden learned from Barry, the expert. Just sayin'
Don Harrell
Blitzkrieg didn’t work in Russia, there were no roads, just cow paths that were either frozen or mired in mud. Russians, in villages,asked Germans how the Czar was. Except for Stalingrad the advance towards Moscow ended the same way Napoleon did, Germans retreating, no supplies. The Germans stayed on the roads and snow was piled up ten feet on either side and Russian planes mowed down thousands while partisans on skis attacked on every side. You would rather be dead than captured.
I wonder, if Russia, divorced from the modern economy and forced to be independent, even though backward for our standards, is not further along at being able to survive the global financial economic breakdown that we are all trying to prepare for.
I don’t know what history means for the present, except war brings the unexpected and the unexpected could be nuclear annihilation.
There is always a bridge too far brought about by stupid dogma, by tunnel vision people whose interests and intent are suspect.
Bill asked the question, is it stupidity or evil? Evil is the thought process and actions divorced from God. Stupidity produces evil and vise versa.
Wonderful account and perspective, Bill, as always.
For the "few dozen people in the whole US" who are interested in the Ukraine backstory, here's a small piece of it:
https://jdbreen.substack.com/p/the-fluid-frontier
Or for those intrigued by the ongoing malevolence and mindless handwringing underway today:
https://jdbreen.substack.com/p/empty-gestures-and-solemn-prayers
My understanding, Ukraine never indicated or intended to invade Russia, it had too much internal corruption and politico fighting, to decide on such a campaign, despite Russian subversive tactics to grab power & take over Ukraine 100% as one of many subservient colonies.
Putin has had a grand plan from way back from his upbringing in near poverty, to re-establish the Great Russian Empire, East to West with all Baltic countries.
Nato nations actions for collaborative defence, was his justification to act when he thought he was on week off CheckMate by military training summer camps became a necessary ‘military action’ for national motherland protection.
Yes, the massive military industrial complex in the USA is a major player in the capitalist system, with suspect initiatives to garner tax moneys, profits and wealth from war. A military campaign is a great way to quit excess and old stocks from warehouses.
Looking however at China, North Korea, Iran and Russia etc ‘non-capitalists, it’s not just Wall Street in this field of exploiting and making killing equipment. To say their socialist spending is only preventative for home defence is, despite protestations at UN etc and ignoring global treaties, is patently bulldust and not supported by the evidence of their massive military buildup.
Question 1. Israel of now, would it not be other than muslim and arabic inhabited, if it were not for conscription and about 50% of their national budget spend allocated to defending their own right to exist. Is that corrupt and dumb stupid also?
Question 2. If Germany and EU had not been so stupidly naive in dictating green power & renewables and changing nature - would Putin have started his blitz, butcher and obliterate under the proviso of ‘denazification’, used to feed his troops with hated and poison brains into madnesses?
Question 3. When this period of ‘civilization’ is written about in 20 years time some of the players from Biden, Putin, Zelenskyy and many others will be remembered comparatively to Churchill, Roosevelt, Hitler, Stalin etc.
Question 4. And, what will be said about Reserve Bankers, Politicians, Bureaucrats Billionaires, New World Order lemmings? Those whom let the viruses of civil disorder, panic and civil wars, become global and encourage the plunder, destroy, and let anarchy loose but wash their hands like Pontus Pilat ?
The thing that is a commonality of history and warring, is the seized awful power and madness of manic egotist leaders, the use of terror and mass killings even in this age of ‘technology and peace movements’
Human lives and deaths yesterday, today and tomorrow are an expendable item at their whim, almost as are fiat currencies in the hands of Reserve bank's!
I have used this graph for many years as the single best graphic representation of data ever. Little did I know and expect that it illustrates the most likely scenario for those who are apparently hell-bent to cross that bridge again. As in the past, if that really happens the toll for Russia will be drastic but for those who try lethal. You can't fight geography.
My understanding of the history is, It’s not wise to get too big for your britches.
Germany encountered the same problem with supply lines in World War 2.
My understanding from this history lesson then, is that it’s folly to invade Russia and, therefore, by extension, it’s folly to resist Russia. We should send this information to all the former Soviet satellites and, of course, the Ukrainians.
Instead of reading de Caulaincourt, they've decided to re-make the movie.
Everything repeats. We advance technically that’s about it.
It will be interesting to see how General Winter treats the Russian invaders
Bill really stirred a hornet’s nest among some of his readers by telling the truth here. I think the Warfare State is frightened that, as the central bankers have little choice but to gradually remove the punch bowl after tossing out trillions of dollars of faux money this young century through printing and ridiculously-low interest rates, the Pentagon’s $700B annual budget might be looked at quite closely for a change, as will the Welfare State’s gigantic budget. Look at the “little gods” in tech such as Elon Musk, Mark Zuckerberg, Tim Cook, etc. (Jeff Bezos and Sheryl Sandberg wisely saw the handwriting on the wall and fled.) They aren’t so god-like now that the faux money and easy, low-interest money are being removed. The WSJ recently pointed out that venture capitalists are also sobering up, which means that money won’t be thrown at nearly as many silly little apps or other fads that--might--make a profit a decade from now. Bill has been predicting for years that once the punch bowl starts being removed, there will be a reality check across the board. But I recently heard The WSJ’s Dan Henninger wonder how long the punch bowl will be removed. Or will it be filled again with faux money in 2023, bringing about problems in 2024 that are now occurring in 2022?
And pertaining to Ukraine---where is that $40B of unaudited money? As Bill points out, Vlad has only invaded a tiny portion of Ukraine, and his military has paid a high price. I guess he could have leveled all major Ukrainian cities and saved many Russian troops’ lives. And who says, outside of Pres. Zelenskyy and his globalist backers, a majority of Ukrainians would have wanted to join NATO if Mr. Zelenskyy had told them up front that his wanting to join NATO could provoke serious military action from Vlad? With Ukraine no longer being of interest to a majority of Americans, and if the central bankers hold the line on faux money creation during 2023, I just hope something doesn’t get stirred up somewhere else in the world. Something that might spiral out of control.
I'm in total agreement with the descriptor used by PG V; I'm just not sure which should come first, isolationist or appeaser. You are worse than wrong with your statement about three dozen people in America who care about Unkraine, Donesk, etc. There are more than three dozen people in my neighborhood who care a great deal about the present and future of Ukraine . Every week, the people of Denver fill a large plane (destination Ukraine) full goods of all kinds to help people there. The media around here claim that Thousands of people from the Denver area have contributed to this effort. Believe it or not, thousands (more likely hundreds of thousands ) of people are doing similar things in cities and towns all over the country. How could you have missed all this? Talk about out of touch!