The Hoover Boom
These absurdities attached themselves to Ms. Harris like ticks to a dog. She represented the ‘system’ that had saddled the nation with $36 trillion in debt, and made America’s rich richer than ever.
Tuesday, November 12th, 2024
Bill Bonner, writing today from Baltimore, Maryland
As democracy is perfected, the office of the President represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. On some great and glorious day, the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last, and the White House will be occupied by a downright fool and a complete narcissistic moron.
H.L. Mencken
A week has passed since Donald J. Trump was re-elected president. The stock market has celebrated with the most impressive run-up since Herbert Hoover was elected. Hoover was a take-charge kind of guy too. “For six years, that man has been giving me unsolicited advice,” remarked out-going president Calvin Coolidge, “all of it bad.”
But Hoover was elected in 1928. Thereafter, stocks rose a spectacular 40%, before crashing in 1929.
Since the election results were announced last week, one third of the country has been overjoyed, whooping and hollering, sure that happy days are here again. Another third acts as if it were looking at the Reichstag Fire. And the final third gets out the hotdogs and marshmallows.
The poor Democrats have gnashed so many teeth, it is amazing they have any left. This time, they lost by such a big margin the familiar excuses — Russian interference, misinformation, bad luck — just don’t seem to be enough. This time, the Trump victory tells us “who we really are,” says a recent New York Times headline.
Yes, we are a nation of dumbbells and dreamers... neither always good, nor always bad... but always subject to influence. And when ‘the plain folks’ speak, they don’t necessarily say what the elites want to hear.
But here at BPR, we emphasize the positive. It is a shame Americans elected Donald Trump. But it’s a good thing they didn’t elect Kamala Harris. And some other good things have come out of the experience.
For one, the benevolent expertise of the elites as channeled by their propaganda media has been thoroughly discredited. The Wall Street Journal:
Trump’s Win Cemented It: New Media Is Leaving the Old Guard Behind
The old media — TV, newspapers, magazines — were overwhelmingly behind Ms. Harris. She had the support of the whole Elite Establishment — the press, the universities, Hollywood and the DC establishment. One study showed that 80% of the news coverage on Trump was negative. And yet, the public seemed to pay no attention.
The legacy media also clung to themes that favored Harris over Trump. One was the idea that ‘our democracy is in danger.’ Donald Trump was supposed to be a ‘fascist’ and should he win, or so went the line of argument, it might be the last election in America.
They held steadfast to the idea of the January 6th ‘insurrection,’ too, when any fool could see that the middle-aged dopes milling around the Capitol building were no threat to the police power of the empire.
They insisted that the Covid was an ‘existential threat,’ and not just another flu. Again, the evidence told a different story.
And they even wanted to change the English language to accommodate their woke-ish fads; the ‘him’ or the ‘her’ was replaced by the fake gender-neutral plural, ‘them.’
And while they were adamant about not offending someone’s tender sensibilities by using the wrong pronoun, they were nevertheless eager to send US-made bombs overseas... so the killing of the hes, shes, and thems could continue apace.
These absurdities attached themselves to Ms. Harris like ticks to a dog. She represented the Powers-That-Be….the ‘system’ that had saddled the nation with $36 trillion in debt, and made America’s rich richer than ever…but not given the working class a real raise in half a century. It was this ‘system’ that ‘the plain folks’ despised. And what could Ms. Harris say, but ‘vote for me; I’ll give you more of it.’
So, it turned out that the real threat to democracy was not the MAGA crowd. It was democracy itself. The ancient Greeks warned us about it. Allowing the masses to choose a leader is always a threat to the health of the nation. And in the election of 2024, it gave us the choice between cholera and the plague, Trump or Harris.
Voters washed their hands and tried their best to avoid getting sick. But most felt a patriotic duty to run a fever... for one or the other. And since they couldn’t stomach any more-of-the-same from Kamala, they crossed themselves and pulled the lever for Trump.
Regards,
Bill Bonner
Market Note, by Tom Dyson
Microstrategy wins the contest for the most extreme stock chart of all time...
Microstrategy IPO’d at $8 in June 1998. On March 10, 2000, Microstrategy [MSTR] touched $333 a share. Over the next seven trading days, it crashed to $63 and then kept falling for another two years. The stock bottomed at $0.48 a share in July 2002.
Microstrategy’s roundtrip is now complete. Yesterday MSTR reached $333 again, setting a new all-time high of $351. A rise of 35x… followed by a 99% collapse… and then a 731x rise (so far).
"𝘼𝙣𝙙 𝙨𝙞𝙣𝙘𝙚 𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙮 𝙘𝙤𝙪𝙡𝙙𝙣’𝙩 𝙨𝙩𝙤𝙢𝙖𝙘𝙝 𝙖𝙣𝙮 𝙢𝙤𝙧𝙚-𝙤𝙛-𝙩𝙝𝙚-𝙨𝙖𝙢𝙚 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙆𝙖𝙢𝙖𝙡𝙖, 𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙮 𝙘𝙧𝙤𝙨𝙨𝙚𝙙 𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙢𝙨𝙚𝙡𝙫𝙚𝙨 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙥𝙪𝙡𝙡𝙚𝙙 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙡𝙚𝙫𝙚𝙧 𝙛𝙤𝙧 𝙏𝙧𝙪𝙢𝙥. "
Meh. Maybe not so much and tell yourself whatever you must to get through the day - but Bonner gotta Bonner I guess.
"𝘽𝙪𝙩 𝙝𝙚𝙧𝙚 𝙖𝙩 𝘽𝙋𝙍, 𝙬𝙚 𝙚𝙢𝙥𝙝𝙖𝙨𝙞𝙯𝙚 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙥𝙤𝙨𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙫𝙚. "
Y'all owe me a new keyboard. Mine's covered with coffee and spit...
I will say this: while I’m feeling a bit bummed for being in, ahem, “Max Safety Mode”™️, watching this bubble expand is impressive.
My Fidelity guy rubbed it in a bit yesterday, asking if I’d changed my mind about the market. I said not a chance. “Irrational exuberance” came to mind. Now valuations are at ridiculous levels. I’ll just wait until the hangover sets in, maybe then find a bargain or two.