Iran is not now and never has been a threat to the USA.
Our draft dodging, drug store cowboy president, for reasons that elude rational thought, unleashed the dogs of war without justification.
Yes, Iran's intolerant leaders of its religious theocracy are intent on forcefully keeping Iranians in the 14th century. But the only force that should displace them are the Iranian citizens.
If our flag should ever go abroad, better if it follows trade.
Has it never occurred to you that Iran can get a "nuke" any time it wants one. It simply will fly an airplane to North Korea, load it up and fly back home. In other words, their delivery mechanism is exactly the same the way we delivered one to Japan in 1945.
If we aided Iran's angry population, then your suppositions would dissipate as fast as Trump's campaign promises.
(Trump on the campaign trail: “We are finally putting America First. Our policy of war regime change and nation-building is being replaced by the pursuit of American interests… It is the job of our military to protect our security, not to be the policemen of the world.“)
Biden: Invoking this ailing man, who frolicked in the public trough his entire career, places him in the same dark closet Trump occupies: draft dodger.
That's progress - admitting that both Biden and Trump were guilty of the same charge - and that Biden was selling access to his office. Many did. I drew a very high lottery number and was just getting out of HS (1972) when the US was in Paris negotiating the end to that war, so, no regrets for me.
Still, let's not be premature in judging Iran or Venezuela or wherever as the beginnings of a new "forever war". Let's see how it plays out. So sick of those who predict dire situations that never materialize. The product of over-active imagination that, even when provably wrong, never seems to stop with the issuance of a new warning.
Face it, this could go either way but if Venezuela is prologue, we're now seeing that as long as we're not intent on creating versions of a "Jeffersonian democracy" around the world, we do have other options.
"So sick of those who predict dire situations that never materialize. The product of over-active imagination that, even when provably wrong, never seems to stop with the issuance of a new warning."
"A hypersonic ICBM could cover that 6,000-mile distance in less than twenty minutes. Any protection our vast Oceans had provided to us in the past has now evaporated. Moreover, some of us don't take to being threatened by seventh-century religious nuts bent on acquiring 21st century weapons."
I didn't mean to insinuate anything. I truly am wondering if you've seen the video mentioned or the PNAC paper. Had I NOT seen both, I would be more inclined to agree with your position as I understand it.
... I dunno Jimm, I have seen several photos throughout the years depicting Iranians writing messages on their bombs, on their walls and internet all stating death to the great and small satan's... uh... that would be us.
Seems to me there is more to indicate they were reading a nuke to bomb us.
I agree that there are an amazing number of who say and write all manner of provocative declarations.
With today's instant communication; the disposition for angry people to proclaim all manner of threats, and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, it is amazing that someone hasn't secreted an A-bomb aboard a tramp steamer and sailed it into an American harbor.
We are, after all, a vicious species. Killing each other has been occurring since recorded history. We even kill everything we eat.
Can't recall the on-going wars now underway (Ukraine, Sudan, Sri Lanka come to mind). Our unnecessary one with Iran is just the latest.
Tom, I cannot negate your belief that Iran is a threat.
Their religious extremists certainly wave the proverbial sword often enough (e. g., "Death to America").
But so far, this chant has been just angry rhetoric.
However, as of this afternoon, I foresee US soldiers invading Iran.
Iran's Revolutionary Guards will certainly be a lethal threat to them just as they were to their own citizens weeks ago.
Why Trump chose to expand Israel's war with Iran into another armed incursion by the US into yet another Middle Eastern country will be a source of conjecture forever.
Apart from more violent deaths, food and fuel prices are destined to go up worldwide because of this capricious man now our current president.
You call it Israel’s war. I see it as a war by religious fundamentalists bent on calling all in the world, not subscribing to their own belief system- especially Americans - as infidels. That, to me is a war by Islamists against the entire modern world.
I have been a fan of yours since you wrote your daily analysis from Baltimore. I even buy your wines from Argentina. While you are perfectly within your rights to oppose what Trump does, please refrain from writing things that are not true.
Trump's prosecution of the terrorist regime in Iran is no more "illegal" than Obama's attack on Libya. Indeed, he has even complied with the War Powers Act, the legitimacy of which is dubious. In fact, what he is doing is to mitigate, if not eliminate, the chance for a Jihadi planting and detonating a dirty bomb in London or New York in the name of Allah.
Give him credit for being the first (and only) President to clean up the neighborhood instead of trying to appease a nation bent on destroying the infidels the way Obama and Biden did.
Would you rather have another 9-11 but on steroids? They say that when one injects religion into things it craps them up but good. In the latest round of "negotiations" prior to the current action, the chief Iranian delegation member began by bragging they had enough weapons grade uranium to make 11 bombs. If they have that much, is it a good gamble not to believe them, especially when they yell death to America every Friday? Evidently Trump thought not. Does not take much to wake the sleeper cells here that Biden's people let cross our borders and I would bet their suitcases could well have contained fissionable materials or even microbiological agents with which to poison our unguarded water supplies.
"Would you rather have another 9-11 but on steroids?" There are still people that believe the Fox News version of 9-11?? I thought we were all past that. Or is that a threat that if we don't do what our masters say they will perpetrate another 9-11?
I'll never understand the far-Left mentality that treats conservative Christian religious groups that peacefully demonstrate against abortion as violent extremists while treating nihilist death cults like Iranian Islamists as though they're harmless.
You may not like the mentality; you may regret that it exists, but you understand it as well as I do: it's called "do whatever it takes to destroy the country." Best always. PM
A hypersonic ICBM could cover that 6,000-mile distance in less than twenty minutes. Any protection our vast Oceans had provided to us in the past has now evaporated. Moreover, some of us don't take to being threatened by seventh-century religious nuts bent on acquiring 21st century weapons.
Oh no. Not that name again. How unfair that a political and economic columnist discussing current events would accidentally trip over the most unavoidable figure in current political and economic life. What are the odds?
This is like opening a weather report and yelling, “Can you do one of these without mentioning rain?” Sure. On a sunny day.
Bill was not name-dropping for sport. He was building context. That is what writers do when they are trying to explain why things are happening, instead of just handing you a warm emotional support opinion and a cookie.
The whole complaint is amazing, really. “Please write something original and relevant, but first remove the person whose decisions are affecting the very topic you’re writing about.” That is not a request for originality. That is a request for sedation.
And then the little flourish: “Until you do that, I’m done reading.” Sir, this is not a hostage negotiation. You are not barricaded inside a newsletter with a list of demands. You are a man standing in a digital doorway announcing your departure while somehow still lingering long enough to make sure everyone notices.
If you want comfort, ask for comfort. If you want analysis, do not demand that reality be edited to protect your blood pressure.
I do not agree with a single word you have written but I am fascinated and in love with the way in which you wrote it. You have a gift. However, you are well aware of that.
In other words you are saying it's okay to fight when unnecessary. It is likely that this conflict will continue until at least fall. Our narrative of an endless string of victories will become hollow. Israel has already told their citizens that they can cannot guarantee warnings nor protection from incoming missiles. China will become involved in the next 90 days. I also expect Iran to detonate it's first nuclear weapon by fall which will abruptly end the fighting.
So you think that they still have the capability to launch a nuke? Interesting. For the record, I doubt that option exists today. But I know hope spring eternal for the Left.
Well now you know full well that is not what I am saying. But what you are saying is what all the folks on the far left say when they encounter a truth they do not understand. It's okay because not many of us take you seriously.
An interesting challenge, however Bill would not be fullfilling the subscription which we pay for if he did so. Our incompetent Clown in Chief issists on putting himself in the middle of everything (except the Epstein Files which he is smack dab at the center of). I can think of nothing more I would prefer than a world and Bill's pieces less DJT. Unfortunately there is no escape at this time.
It would seem that we are all part of The Deep Warmongering State. We all wallow in the swamp, pigs at the trough.
In “Brothers Karamazov,” Dostoyevsky is brilliant when he assembles a retinue of various individuals in Father Zosima’s room and equates their personalities and beliefs according to their worldly interests. John Adam’s said something like, “You can know a man by his interests.”
The biggest liar in our lives is ourselves. Christ said, “I have come to set you free. You must be born again, become the new man, the new wine skin founded in the word of God, The Way, and the Truth.”
Take heed of Bill’s beginning quote. We all die alone and the only thing we take with us is the soul we developed or lost along the way.
Hello Bill and the Bonner Research team. I am a subscriber and I look forward to your articles. As I am over 70 now, I try not to squint when I read. The color of your type is a faint blue. Please return to the high contrast BLACK color so it would be easier to read.
I was thinking about this broken window thing. The idea that destruction helps the economy. You gotta love the economic debate in the US. You know, when someone breaks my window I don’t think, “Well this is fantastic for the glass industry.”
I think, ‘Who the hell broke my window?’”
Now the price of oil has jumped, jobs have disappeared, insurance costs are exploding, and Trump says, “Don’t worry folks, the economy’s moving!”
Moving where?
Into the ditch.
They’re spending a billion dollars a day. A billion! That’s a lot of money. You could buy every American a nice sandwich and still have enough left over to fix the window.
Instead they’re blowing up things overseas and saying it’ll make everyone richer.
Now I’m no economist, but when people say war makes you rich, I always notice the rich part seems to happen to the people selling the bombs.
The rest of the folks get higher gas prices and speeches about sacrifice.
They’re rediscovering one of humanity’s favorite fairy tales, the idea that destruction creates prosperity. Break a window, hire a glazier, voilà, economic growth! By that logic the best economic policy would be to bulldoze the whole planet and start billing each other for the debris.
War is the ultimate broken window. You smash hospitals, homes, bridges, then congratulate yourself for rebuilding them. It’s like burning down your own house and bragging about the stimulus in the lumber industry.
Meanwhile we’re standing at the gas pump watching the numbers spin like a slot machine in Vegas. $122 a barrel, groceries climbing, wages crawling along like a wounded snail. But again… don’t worry, Trump says “victory is near”, and by that he means that victory in politics is someone else paying the bill later.
And the bill always arrives, but not for you Mr. Bill Bonner, you’re a Billionaire! 🤩
History doesn’t forget, it just waits quietly like a debt collector wearing sandals with a a surprise ending.
Usually for the guy who thought he had the whole thing figured out.
So Bill I noticed in your missive today you made no mention, I mean not a comment, on the of nuclear destruction that Iran would perpetrate on an American city or three given the opportunity. Is this because you don't perceive it to be a real threat? Or is it, like the rest of country's leftists, you can't give Trump a win? Interesting...
Bill, I defer to your incredible wit and literary skills BUT… Is there ANY CHANCE?… Even one percent the Trump has taken the correct action to stop this evil murderous hell Bent on destruction regime?
When you say "murderous hell-bent regime" surely you are referring to the American Empire which can't stop meddling in basically every country on earth's sovereign affairs.
How would you feel if Iran or any other country had the power to decide who would be the "President" of the US and expropriate it's natural resources like oil and rare earth minerals.
I get the feeling you probably wouldn't like that too much and might even consider chanting "Death to (fill in the blank)".
If you believe Iran was not in process mfg nukes, or financing proxy terror regimes, or accumulating ballistic missiles...then I reckon from your POV Iran was a good player.
I see it is completely lost on you that extremist Islamists and their domestic "Dimy" apologists, are trying to pick our presidents - European rulers too.
I wish other countries populations had more guts and vision, but unfortunately, that role is left to Americans. Not to worry, we're good at defending our own people as well as yours, so you can remain seated in the "cuck chair"
Hey Ed. I guess they forget Dec 7 1941. Too bad we didn't hit Japan before they tried to destroy us. Do you think there are some lessons to be learned here. The future is hard if you know what I mean. Death to America, hum. God's blessings to you my friend.
Believe me unlike you I don’t lose any sleep over the US imposing Sharia law upon me but I do have apprehensions about the digital panopticon Trump is putting in place with his bud Peter Thiel and Palantir.
I don’t lose any sleep over my President taking preemptive steps to make sure that the USA, unlike the Europeans, never have to entertain having Sharia law imposed on us. This is why we have Second Amendment protection.
Bill, if it weren't for your disciples, Tom and Dan, you would lose 3/4 of your subscriptions. Your TDS is clouding your perspective. This oil shortage is a necessary temporary situation which Trump has already moved to insure shipping as well as escorting tankers. Lloyd's of London already copitulated to joining Trump in partnership to provide insurance for the fleets of tankers. Once this period is over the oil will move freely under US control not Iranian control. While the Iranian Tondgouyan Oil Refinery has been destroyed, IRGC's key military fuel depot and ammunition dump, Kharg Island one of the country's main export facilities was spared. Thus does not degrade Iran's oil export capability. If the US seizes Kharg Island (which I expect) it will control 90% of Iranian crude oil exports helping to restore oil prices. Be patient Bill. This attack is not chaos but a highly planned attack to restore freedom to Iran and relieve the world of the greatest funding of terrorism in the world. And, as well, taking your buddies down in the "deep state", especially Obama, who sponsed Iranian terrorism in the first place with pallets of currency stolen from the US citizens treasury. Time will tell and I'll be the first one to admit I'm wrong if it doesn't play out. But, will you?
How does that old adage go again . . . what's the first casualty of war?
Oh ya, now I remember.
Considering their track record over the past 80 years against countries that have no real hope of fighting back, I just have a very hard time thinking they're going to "win" this one . . . this ain't Afghaneestan.
Unless of course their definition of "win" is very different than ours and what they are telling us about their "goals". Which, when you consider all their previous horrendously failed results, appears to be the most logical and likely conclusion to draw since they have this burning desire to keep running the same failed experiment time after time, after time, after time . . .
What was it Einstein said about running the same failed experiment time after time and expecting a different result?
The two comments you posted sound like what Democrats have been saying for years. I wish I could believe they actually care about people, but I fear they just are worried about losing the next election "very bigly."
Inflation is not 4%; it is at least 9% and rising. Go to the grocery store with your eyes open or to a hardware store and buy a simple hammer. 4% indeed. I do not listen to the drivel out of Washington since I understood how they manipulate the CPI as well as employment and so much more. Mark Twain is credited with " if you line up all the economists in the world they will point in all different directions" God's blessings my friend.
Bob, inflation is cumulative. The 4% from 2025 is on top of the 20% from Biden’s four years. The thing about wage inflation is that it gets embedded while Imported materials or oil can go up or down.
Empires gonna do Empire stuff. Nothing stops this train.
The advice of the entire Bonner team has nearly flawless since its launch in late 2021. Ignoring it because Bill knocks the current US administration is foolish and misses the point of this newsletter entirely.
We are living through the decline of an empire. Accept it for what it is & plan your life & investments accordingly. Whether the US President has a "D" or an "R" in front of their name (or the initials DJT), is largely irrelevant to the overall picture/trend.
If you cannot grasp this concept or are enraged when events cast a shadow over your favorite politician, you're probably not mature enough for this content. Take your flamethrower back to X and leave this comment section to those that are here to preserve and grow their investment accounts.
I hope you're right about this part, Bill. I've read elsewhere that if they can shut down Hormuz it will cause a world-wide depression in months, not years.
Iran is not now and never has been a threat to the USA.
Our draft dodging, drug store cowboy president, for reasons that elude rational thought, unleashed the dogs of war without justification.
Yes, Iran's intolerant leaders of its religious theocracy are intent on forcefully keeping Iranians in the 14th century. But the only force that should displace them are the Iranian citizens.
If our flag should ever go abroad, better if it follows trade.
I guess you don't believe that these 7th century savages weren't building a nuclear weapon and the ICBM's to deliver the payload.
Even after they so recently bragged about having enough to arm eleven missiles.
So strange.
Also, you keep repeating that "draft dodging" thing as though you're also completely unaware that Biden dodged the draft with his asthma claim.
Sanitized rationale is no rationale at all, Jimm
Has it never occurred to you that Iran can get a "nuke" any time it wants one. It simply will fly an airplane to North Korea, load it up and fly back home. In other words, their delivery mechanism is exactly the same the way we delivered one to Japan in 1945.
I hope you’re kidding. Things have evolved a tad since 1945.
If we aided Iran's angry population, then your suppositions would dissipate as fast as Trump's campaign promises.
(Trump on the campaign trail: “We are finally putting America First. Our policy of war regime change and nation-building is being replaced by the pursuit of American interests… It is the job of our military to protect our security, not to be the policemen of the world.“)
Biden: Invoking this ailing man, who frolicked in the public trough his entire career, places him in the same dark closet Trump occupies: draft dodger.
That's progress - admitting that both Biden and Trump were guilty of the same charge - and that Biden was selling access to his office. Many did. I drew a very high lottery number and was just getting out of HS (1972) when the US was in Paris negotiating the end to that war, so, no regrets for me.
Still, let's not be premature in judging Iran or Venezuela or wherever as the beginnings of a new "forever war". Let's see how it plays out. So sick of those who predict dire situations that never materialize. The product of over-active imagination that, even when provably wrong, never seems to stop with the issuance of a new warning.
Face it, this could go either way but if Venezuela is prologue, we're now seeing that as long as we're not intent on creating versions of a "Jeffersonian democracy" around the world, we do have other options.
"So sick of those who predict dire situations that never materialize. The product of over-active imagination that, even when provably wrong, never seems to stop with the issuance of a new warning."
"A hypersonic ICBM could cover that 6,000-mile distance in less than twenty minutes. Any protection our vast Oceans had provided to us in the past has now evaporated. Moreover, some of us don't take to being threatened by seventh-century religious nuts bent on acquiring 21st century weapons."
Said Ed.
Just remember Ed, That old word "history" has a way of biting one's back end. Different times but much the same players.
Doesn’t repeat but often rhymes.
True also.
Ed, I'm wondering. Have you seen the video in which Bibi claims repeatedly, over the last 30 years, that "Iran almost has the bomb?"
Or the paper "Project for the New American Century?"
And in evaluting a president, do you really prefer that "no worse than Biden" be the standard?
What are you insinuating? That Iran wasn’t pursuing nuclear weapons? And why the quotation marks around your own words - not mine?
I didn't mean to insinuate anything. I truly am wondering if you've seen the video mentioned or the PNAC paper. Had I NOT seen both, I would be more inclined to agree with your position as I understand it.
I have not seen the video. Why don’t you just briefly describe the theme?
... I dunno Jimm, I have seen several photos throughout the years depicting Iranians writing messages on their bombs, on their walls and internet all stating death to the great and small satan's... uh... that would be us.
Seems to me there is more to indicate they were reading a nuke to bomb us.
Iceberg,
I agree that there are an amazing number of who say and write all manner of provocative declarations.
With today's instant communication; the disposition for angry people to proclaim all manner of threats, and the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, it is amazing that someone hasn't secreted an A-bomb aboard a tramp steamer and sailed it into an American harbor.
We are, after all, a vicious species. Killing each other has been occurring since recorded history. We even kill everything we eat.
Can't recall the on-going wars now underway (Ukraine, Sudan, Sri Lanka come to mind). Our unnecessary one with Iran is just the latest.
"Not now or ever been a threat to America" Please demonstrate the evidence for your statement.
Tom, I cannot negate your belief that Iran is a threat.
Their religious extremists certainly wave the proverbial sword often enough (e. g., "Death to America").
But so far, this chant has been just angry rhetoric.
However, as of this afternoon, I foresee US soldiers invading Iran.
Iran's Revolutionary Guards will certainly be a lethal threat to them just as they were to their own citizens weeks ago.
Why Trump chose to expand Israel's war with Iran into another armed incursion by the US into yet another Middle Eastern country will be a source of conjecture forever.
Apart from more violent deaths, food and fuel prices are destined to go up worldwide because of this capricious man now our current president.
You call it Israel’s war. I see it as a war by religious fundamentalists bent on calling all in the world, not subscribing to their own belief system- especially Americans - as infidels. That, to me is a war by Islamists against the entire modern world.
I have been a fan of yours since you wrote your daily analysis from Baltimore. I even buy your wines from Argentina. While you are perfectly within your rights to oppose what Trump does, please refrain from writing things that are not true.
Trump's prosecution of the terrorist regime in Iran is no more "illegal" than Obama's attack on Libya. Indeed, he has even complied with the War Powers Act, the legitimacy of which is dubious. In fact, what he is doing is to mitigate, if not eliminate, the chance for a Jihadi planting and detonating a dirty bomb in London or New York in the name of Allah.
Give him credit for being the first (and only) President to clean up the neighborhood instead of trying to appease a nation bent on destroying the infidels the way Obama and Biden did.
I missed the part in the Constitution where the POTUS is required to "clean up the neighborhood" in a foreign country 6000 miles away.
Would you rather have another 9-11 but on steroids? They say that when one injects religion into things it craps them up but good. In the latest round of "negotiations" prior to the current action, the chief Iranian delegation member began by bragging they had enough weapons grade uranium to make 11 bombs. If they have that much, is it a good gamble not to believe them, especially when they yell death to America every Friday? Evidently Trump thought not. Does not take much to wake the sleeper cells here that Biden's people let cross our borders and I would bet their suitcases could well have contained fissionable materials or even microbiological agents with which to poison our unguarded water supplies.
"Would you rather have another 9-11 but on steroids?" There are still people that believe the Fox News version of 9-11?? I thought we were all past that. Or is that a threat that if we don't do what our masters say they will perpetrate another 9-11?
WTF is a "Fox news version of 9-11"?
My prior employer ran the project that replaced the Twin Towers.
What do you think happened to the original Towers"
The TeeVee got you real good.
I'll never understand the far-Left mentality that treats conservative Christian religious groups that peacefully demonstrate against abortion as violent extremists while treating nihilist death cults like Iranian Islamists as though they're harmless.
You may not like the mentality; you may regret that it exists, but you understand it as well as I do: it's called "do whatever it takes to destroy the country." Best always. PM
Listen Ed, with all due respect, your analogy is way to abstract for most leftist to grasp.
A hypersonic ICBM could cover that 6,000-mile distance in less than twenty minutes. Any protection our vast Oceans had provided to us in the past has now evaporated. Moreover, some of us don't take to being threatened by seventh-century religious nuts bent on acquiring 21st century weapons.
War powers act is for imminent danger….10 years is imminent???
...where's the evidence they were not building a nuke to bomb the U.S.?
Seems there's a lot to conclude they were in fact pursuing the bomb.
Their missiles can only go to 2000 kilometers max
By the way didn’t we obliterate completely the nuclear reactor in June ???
It would be nice if you could write a column and not reference, Trump,‘s name once. I bet you can’t do it. Write something original and relevant!
Oh no. Not that name again. How unfair that a political and economic columnist discussing current events would accidentally trip over the most unavoidable figure in current political and economic life. What are the odds?
This is like opening a weather report and yelling, “Can you do one of these without mentioning rain?” Sure. On a sunny day.
Bill was not name-dropping for sport. He was building context. That is what writers do when they are trying to explain why things are happening, instead of just handing you a warm emotional support opinion and a cookie.
The whole complaint is amazing, really. “Please write something original and relevant, but first remove the person whose decisions are affecting the very topic you’re writing about.” That is not a request for originality. That is a request for sedation.
And then the little flourish: “Until you do that, I’m done reading.” Sir, this is not a hostage negotiation. You are not barricaded inside a newsletter with a list of demands. You are a man standing in a digital doorway announcing your departure while somehow still lingering long enough to make sure everyone notices.
If you want comfort, ask for comfort. If you want analysis, do not demand that reality be edited to protect your blood pressure.
That is the deal.
I do not agree with a single word you have written but I am fascinated and in love with the way in which you wrote it. You have a gift. However, you are well aware of that.
In other words you are saying it's okay to fight when unnecessary. It is likely that this conflict will continue until at least fall. Our narrative of an endless string of victories will become hollow. Israel has already told their citizens that they can cannot guarantee warnings nor protection from incoming missiles. China will become involved in the next 90 days. I also expect Iran to detonate it's first nuclear weapon by fall which will abruptly end the fighting.
So you think that they still have the capability to launch a nuke? Interesting. For the record, I doubt that option exists today. But I know hope spring eternal for the Left.
Well now you know full well that is not what I am saying. But what you are saying is what all the folks on the far left say when they encounter a truth they do not understand. It's okay because not many of us take you seriously.
Problem is Trump does not make the decisions Congress and the Speaker does. So writing a article without his name in it should be quite easy
I think your point is valid.
An interesting challenge, however Bill would not be fullfilling the subscription which we pay for if he did so. Our incompetent Clown in Chief issists on putting himself in the middle of everything (except the Epstein Files which he is smack dab at the center of). I can think of nothing more I would prefer than a world and Bill's pieces less DJT. Unfortunately there is no escape at this time.
Until you do that, I’m done reading anything you write.
Paid subscriber
It would seem that we are all part of The Deep Warmongering State. We all wallow in the swamp, pigs at the trough.
In “Brothers Karamazov,” Dostoyevsky is brilliant when he assembles a retinue of various individuals in Father Zosima’s room and equates their personalities and beliefs according to their worldly interests. John Adam’s said something like, “You can know a man by his interests.”
The biggest liar in our lives is ourselves. Christ said, “I have come to set you free. You must be born again, become the new man, the new wine skin founded in the word of God, The Way, and the Truth.”
Take heed of Bill’s beginning quote. We all die alone and the only thing we take with us is the soul we developed or lost along the way.
Hello Bill and the Bonner Research team. I am a subscriber and I look forward to your articles. As I am over 70 now, I try not to squint when I read. The color of your type is a faint blue. Please return to the high contrast BLACK color so it would be easier to read.
Many thanks and keep up the good work. LB
I was thinking about this broken window thing. The idea that destruction helps the economy. You gotta love the economic debate in the US. You know, when someone breaks my window I don’t think, “Well this is fantastic for the glass industry.”
I think, ‘Who the hell broke my window?’”
Now the price of oil has jumped, jobs have disappeared, insurance costs are exploding, and Trump says, “Don’t worry folks, the economy’s moving!”
Moving where?
Into the ditch.
They’re spending a billion dollars a day. A billion! That’s a lot of money. You could buy every American a nice sandwich and still have enough left over to fix the window.
Instead they’re blowing up things overseas and saying it’ll make everyone richer.
Now I’m no economist, but when people say war makes you rich, I always notice the rich part seems to happen to the people selling the bombs.
The rest of the folks get higher gas prices and speeches about sacrifice.
They’re rediscovering one of humanity’s favorite fairy tales, the idea that destruction creates prosperity. Break a window, hire a glazier, voilà, economic growth! By that logic the best economic policy would be to bulldoze the whole planet and start billing each other for the debris.
War is the ultimate broken window. You smash hospitals, homes, bridges, then congratulate yourself for rebuilding them. It’s like burning down your own house and bragging about the stimulus in the lumber industry.
Meanwhile we’re standing at the gas pump watching the numbers spin like a slot machine in Vegas. $122 a barrel, groceries climbing, wages crawling along like a wounded snail. But again… don’t worry, Trump says “victory is near”, and by that he means that victory in politics is someone else paying the bill later.
And the bill always arrives, but not for you Mr. Bill Bonner, you’re a Billionaire! 🤩
History doesn’t forget, it just waits quietly like a debt collector wearing sandals with a a surprise ending.
Usually for the guy who thought he had the whole thing figured out.
So Bill I noticed in your missive today you made no mention, I mean not a comment, on the of nuclear destruction that Iran would perpetrate on an American city or three given the opportunity. Is this because you don't perceive it to be a real threat? Or is it, like the rest of country's leftists, you can't give Trump a win? Interesting...
Just to be clear Tom, it's a fantasy to believe that only leftists oppose this war.
Bill, I defer to your incredible wit and literary skills BUT… Is there ANY CHANCE?… Even one percent the Trump has taken the correct action to stop this evil murderous hell Bent on destruction regime?
EVERYONE agrees this wants to make us puke.
When you say "murderous hell-bent regime" surely you are referring to the American Empire which can't stop meddling in basically every country on earth's sovereign affairs.
How would you feel if Iran or any other country had the power to decide who would be the "President" of the US and expropriate it's natural resources like oil and rare earth minerals.
I get the feeling you probably wouldn't like that too much and might even consider chanting "Death to (fill in the blank)".
This is not about your "feelings"...
This is about survival, about who's in charge.
Seems you prefer the CCP in charge.
If you believe Iran was not in process mfg nukes, or financing proxy terror regimes, or accumulating ballistic missiles...then I reckon from your POV Iran was a good player.
No wonder you don't care for the U.S.
I see it is completely lost on you that extremist Islamists and their domestic "Dimy" apologists, are trying to pick our presidents - European rulers too.
I wish other countries populations had more guts and vision, but unfortunately, that role is left to Americans. Not to worry, we're good at defending our own people as well as yours, so you can remain seated in the "cuck chair"
Hey Ed. I guess they forget Dec 7 1941. Too bad we didn't hit Japan before they tried to destroy us. Do you think there are some lessons to be learned here. The future is hard if you know what I mean. Death to America, hum. God's blessings to you my friend.
Or too bad that we didn't embargo their incoming oil and force the attack.
...don't you mean expedite the inevitable.
Suggesting Japan had no imperial designs until the U.S. oil embargo is ludicrous...
“Ludicrous,” like the question of whether or not Japan would have attacked the U.S., is a judgement call. Neither of us can be certain.
What I can be certain of is that the U.S. seems to need 800 bases around the world, and to attack other nations more often than any other nation.
And we all know what Smedley Butler thought.
Believe me unlike you I don’t lose any sleep over the US imposing Sharia law upon me but I do have apprehensions about the digital panopticon Trump is putting in place with his bud Peter Thiel and Palantir.
I don’t lose any sleep over my President taking preemptive steps to make sure that the USA, unlike the Europeans, never have to entertain having Sharia law imposed on us. This is why we have Second Amendment protection.
...you also apparently have no issue with mullahs' nuclear ambitions for you to meet Allah....
Mark Levin, is that you?
Hannity!
Apparently, NOT everyone. Check the comments above for confirmation that reality needs to be edited. Before presentation to a "paying" clientele.
Bill, if it weren't for your disciples, Tom and Dan, you would lose 3/4 of your subscriptions. Your TDS is clouding your perspective. This oil shortage is a necessary temporary situation which Trump has already moved to insure shipping as well as escorting tankers. Lloyd's of London already copitulated to joining Trump in partnership to provide insurance for the fleets of tankers. Once this period is over the oil will move freely under US control not Iranian control. While the Iranian Tondgouyan Oil Refinery has been destroyed, IRGC's key military fuel depot and ammunition dump, Kharg Island one of the country's main export facilities was spared. Thus does not degrade Iran's oil export capability. If the US seizes Kharg Island (which I expect) it will control 90% of Iranian crude oil exports helping to restore oil prices. Be patient Bill. This attack is not chaos but a highly planned attack to restore freedom to Iran and relieve the world of the greatest funding of terrorism in the world. And, as well, taking your buddies down in the "deep state", especially Obama, who sponsed Iranian terrorism in the first place with pallets of currency stolen from the US citizens treasury. Time will tell and I'll be the first one to admit I'm wrong if it doesn't play out. But, will you?
How does that old adage go again . . . what's the first casualty of war?
Oh ya, now I remember.
Considering their track record over the past 80 years against countries that have no real hope of fighting back, I just have a very hard time thinking they're going to "win" this one . . . this ain't Afghaneestan.
Unless of course their definition of "win" is very different than ours and what they are telling us about their "goals". Which, when you consider all their previous horrendously failed results, appears to be the most logical and likely conclusion to draw since they have this burning desire to keep running the same failed experiment time after time, after time, after time . . .
What was it Einstein said about running the same failed experiment time after time and expecting a different result?
Oh ya, now I remember.
Probably more people killed by the irgc than all the bombs that fell on Iran in the past year. The irgc likes to murder people
The two comments you posted sound like what Democrats have been saying for years. I wish I could believe they actually care about people, but I fear they just are worried about losing the next election "very bigly."
Given your constant communist views. Your whining is really getting annoying BUT of course that is exactly your objective.
Bill writes:
"Wages, meanwhile, rose only by 3.4%."
This is correct. It's also entirely domestically driven and not imports tariff driven
ENR data (McGraw-Hill publications) saw Building Cost inflation index "Labor costs" rising by 3.5% in 2025. Close enough....
ENR also saw material costs rising by 0.5% - much of this category of cost does come from imports, tariffed or otherwise.
All told a 4% rate of inflation in 2025...
Doesn't sound anything like what we were being warned about regarding Trumps drive for reciprocity in trade now does it?
An old saying:
"You could arrange all the Economists, end to end, and you still wouldn't reach a conclusion."
Nuff' said... Maybe the Sky isn't falling after all.
Inflation is not 4%; it is at least 9% and rising. Go to the grocery store with your eyes open or to a hardware store and buy a simple hammer. 4% indeed. I do not listen to the drivel out of Washington since I understood how they manipulate the CPI as well as employment and so much more. Mark Twain is credited with " if you line up all the economists in the world they will point in all different directions" God's blessings my friend.
Bob, inflation is cumulative. The 4% from 2025 is on top of the 20% from Biden’s four years. The thing about wage inflation is that it gets embedded while Imported materials or oil can go up or down.
Empires gonna do Empire stuff. Nothing stops this train.
The advice of the entire Bonner team has nearly flawless since its launch in late 2021. Ignoring it because Bill knocks the current US administration is foolish and misses the point of this newsletter entirely.
We are living through the decline of an empire. Accept it for what it is & plan your life & investments accordingly. Whether the US President has a "D" or an "R" in front of their name (or the initials DJT), is largely irrelevant to the overall picture/trend.
If you cannot grasp this concept or are enraged when events cast a shadow over your favorite politician, you're probably not mature enough for this content. Take your flamethrower back to X and leave this comment section to those that are here to preserve and grow their investment accounts.
"You’re not going to win this fight."
I hope you're right about this part, Bill. I've read elsewhere that if they can shut down Hormuz it will cause a world-wide depression in months, not years.